Affliction MMA Betting Handicapping Preview

 

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Vitor Belfort vs  Terry Martin

Vitor Belfort is still a top MMA fighter and fighting now at middleweight might be the best thing for him in his career. His is the former UFC heavyweight tournament champion, light heavyweight champion and the current Cage Rage light heavyweight champion.

At one time Vitor was the best fighter in the world when he was under Carlson Gracie but due personal problems, management problems and taking the sport of MMA for granted Belfort dropped from the world of mixed martial arts.

But Vitor is back and has a renewed dedication to training hard and has begun training with Chute Boxe in Brazil. Belfort is a complete fighter with incredible grappling skills and striking. His striking is one of his most underestimated qualities and Belfort ever competed in a pro boxing fight and with his training at Chute Boxe he will be a very devastating striker, especially at middleweight.

Belfort has fought at a top level throughout his career with wins over Wanderlei Silva, Heath Herring at PRIDE 14 Clash of the Titans,  Randy Couture at UFC 46, Marvin Eastman at UFC 43, James Zikic, Gilbert Yvel and David “Tank” Abbott. He has also fought top level fighters like Tito Ortiz, Chuck Liddell, Dan Henderson and Alistair Overeem.

Terry Martin is a good fighter with good stand up skills but that about it. He lacks cardio and is only looking for the one punch KO. He has not fought a top level fighter and was on his way to beating Chris Leben at UFC Fight Night 11 but could not close the fight and was eventually KO’ed. He has also lost to average fighters like Jason Lambert and James Irvin and lost a decision to Marvin Eastman at UFC 81: Breaking Point while Belfort beat Eastman with a brutal KO in just over a minute.

Betting wise Belfort should be a slight betting favorite but since online odds makers sometimes miss the mark I would not be surprised if they put Martin as the betting favorite since he has been more in the North American spotlight. Whatever the case take the favorable betting lines for Belfort.

Vitor will be fighting at middleweight and will be the better striker and has better hands than Martin. Also Belfort has only been KO’ed one in his career ad that was to Randy Couture at UFC 15: Collision Course. If this fight goes to the ground it will be over quick.

Belfort is still a top level fighter and now at middleweight he is even more dangerous. I would bet a lot on Belfort for an easy victory over an average fighter with only a punchers chance and bad cardio.

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Savant Young vs  Mark Hominick

Trenell “Savant” Young (9-6) will bet fighting hard hitting Canadian fighter Mark Hominick who trains under Shawn Tompkins and with Sam Stout at Team Tompkins Muay Thai and Submission Academy in London, Ontario. Striking wise Hominick is the much better fighter but the problem with him is that he is susceptible to submissions.

Young has fought better fighters and has an impressive victory over Takeshi Inoue recently but in the past when he has faced top level competition he loses. He has losses to Ryan Schultz, Chris Lytle, John Alessio, Jason Von Flue and the fat guy on the TIUF reality show Gabe Ruediger.

Young does have a more well rounded MMA game but Hominick striking power should overwhelm Young in this fight. One major factor is this fight wil be preparation. Young is a part time fight and has a full time job outside of MMA while Hominick trains and instructs full at a club so he is constantly surrounded by working out and training.

The Black Superman will not want to trade punches with Hominick but this fight will turning into a striking fight and Hominick is technically a better striker with much better leg kicks. Young is more powerful but will try to please the crowd and stand up and trade with Hominick and that will be his down fall.

The online betting lines will be close but I think The Black Superman might be the favorite. I would be on Mark Hominick who is a full time fighter compared to Young and is more technical.

Hominick has been working on his sprawls and take down defense with Shawn Tompkins and Young is no world beater with takedowns. I would bet on Mark Hominick for striking demonstration of the Black Superman.

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Mike Pyle vs  JJ Ambrose

Mike Quicksand Pyle (16-5-1) is one of the best fighters you might have never heard of. He is one of Randy Couture’s best students at Xtreme Couture. He is a great wrestler with very good grappling skills. With victories over top UFC welterweight contender Jon Fitch, and Shonie Carter, Pyle has the skills ot beat and compete with top level fighters. He has loses to top level guys like Quinton Jackson, Matt Horwich and Jake Shields.

He will be fighter JJ Ambrose (8-1) who is a very good submission fighter. However, Ambrose has never fought a top level guy and Pyle is as tough as they come. Also Ambrose has never fought at a major MMA event and will not be use to the media attention and the big crowds.

Since trains with Randy Couture he will be able to nullify any submission attempts by Ambrose. Pyle has great upper body strength and once he gains top position on Ambrose he will be very hard to get out of side control or half guard. Pyle has a very good ground and pound and once Pyle gains top position it will be over quick.

In the stand up Pyle has very quick hands which he uses to set up his takedowns. If this fight stays standing Pyle will score a lot of point because he is an aggressive fighter.

The Affliction betting lines will have Pyle as a huge betting favorite. I would estimate around -250 but he is a very god fighter and worth the price to lay your money one. 

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