Geoff Mackays UFC 119 Fight Picks

Posted on September 22nd, 2010 in MMA Betting by admin

UFC 119 is this weekend and the Bodog has out the odds out for the mixed martial arts events. After careful analysis of the event here are my:

Geoff Mackay UFC 119 fight picks

I like Matt “Meat” Mitrione to beat Joey “Mexicutioner” Beltran. Mitrione is a rising talent and he has a lot of power in his hands and is well trained by Duke Roufus. When it comes to striking Beltran is more powerful of the two. Though he has more experience in MMA, it is my opinion Mitrione’s training with Roufus will help him deal with Beltran’s onslaught—with a longer reach and no doubt better kicks, Mitrione will be able to keep Beltran at bay as he tries to get the inside.

I also like TJ Grant at -155. He has more experience in the octagon and will KO Julio Paulino in the second round.

In the Sean “The Muscle Shark” Sherk fight I like him to beat Evan Dunham. A lot of people are writing off the former champ and at +180 he is a solid bet to beat the better grappler in Evan Dunham. Sherk has only lost to top ten fighters and Dunham is not a top ten fighter.

So to me this is the best bet of the night.

To me Melvin “The Young Assassin” Guillard is still a top riding star and will beat Jeremy “Lil’ Heathen” Stephens. +170 is a good price to get Guillard at.

This is no way Joe “El Dirte” Doerksen will beat CB “The Doberman” Dollaway. Dollaway has too much power and strength. Though the odds are steep to me, but this fight is a lock at -325.

Lytle has the reach, technical striking, power, and kicks to stave off Serra. He is the bigger and faster fighter on the ground and will not be caught in Serra’s submission attempts. If this fight stays standing Lytle will score the points and punish Serra.

Despite my love for Antonio Rogerio “Minotoro” Nogueira, Ryan “Darth” Bader is a beast and has much more power. Bader has the wrestling ability and will get the takedowns to score points.

  In the main event Mir will take Filipović apart in this fight— Filipović is no longer the fighter he once was and Mir is hungry to get back into the UFC heavyweight title mix. Though I expect Mir to down Filipović in the first round with strikes, a nice sized prop bet on a first round stoppage in addition to the money line sports bet would work.

Below are the UFC 119 betting lines

Matt “Meat” Mitrione -145  
Joey “Mexicutioner” Beltran +115 

TJ Grant -155  
Julio Paulino +125 

Sean “The Muscle Shark” Sherk +180  
Evan Dunham -220 

Melvin “The Young Assassin” Guillard -170  
Jeremy “Lil’ Heathen” Stephens +140 

CB “The Doberman” Dollaway -325  
Joe “El Dirte” Doerksen +250 

Matt “The Terror” Serra +110  
Chris “Lights Out” Lytle -140 

Ryan “Darth” Bader -170  
Antonio Rogerio “Minotoro” Nogueira +140 

Frank Mir -300 
Mirko Filipovic +240 

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