UFC 117 Prediction Alves vs Fitch
After I initially pondered at these Ultimate Fighting Championship gambling lines I had to consider a another look. I cannot believe that The Pitbull (22-6) is the online betting favorite. I might have though the betting lines would be -110 for both MMA fighters.
Jon Fitch is the most under rated UFC fighter and the rationale Jon Fitch is not the online betting favorite is that he is not an exciting fighter. Fitch is not a glamorous MMA fighter and he does not have outstanding wins but he is a professional all around UFC martial artist. He is like Dan Henderson and wins fights through attrition and going the distance. Out of his 21 wins eleven have been be decision with his last six UFC matches decided upon the judges. Remember that Jon Fitch has faced head on top rated level UFC martial artists and has only dropped to GSP Wilson Gouveia, and his initial mixed martial arts fight as opposed to Mike Pyle. The quantity of fighters he has beaten is extraordinary with victories over Paulo Thiago, Akihiro Gono, Chris Wilson, Diego Sanchez, Roan Carneiro, Josh Burkman, Brock Larson, and Alves.
Before his loss to Georges St Pierre, Fitch was on a sixteen fight winning streak everyone and anyone. He mastered them all and it proved that he could match up MMA from vantage point.
Striking wise Alves is a much better striker. He has a lot of power and has 10 KO’s out of his 16 victories. However, Fitch has the heart and head to take the shots and has only been KO once in his career. That was early on in his career against a much heavier Wilson Gouveia. Since then he has fought many tough strikers who could KO him like Diego Sanchez, Luigi Fioravanti, Shonie Carter, Paulo Thiago, Mike Pierce, Josh Burkman and Brock Larson.
The Pitbull is not generally known as a martial artist that could begin the later MMA rounds but his has been able to remove guys . He’s a 2nd round fighter and when he goes past the second rounds he begins to fade. He might be able to get his shots however, you can’t knock out the heart of Fitch. In the 1st battle between the two Alves was taking the match and he roughly knocked out Fitch but finally Fitch turned it around and wound up knocking out the American Top Team MMA fighter late in the 2nd round.
Jon dominates Alves in wrestling. Jon Fitch have the opportunity to take Thiago down thanks to his excellent wrestling. Fitch was a member of the Purdue wrestling team, a 4-year letter-man and was underneath Tom Erikson and became the team captain of his wrestling squad. He will have the take-down points but Alves does possess a good sprawl and even St Pierre had difficulties controlling Alves down once he got the takedown.
This MMA fight will likely go to judge’s decision since most of Jon Fitch’s MMA fights go the distance and a good wager is a novelty wager for this fight to go the distance. Jon Fitch will win this match up on takedown points and he will accumulate some shots on the ground. He won’t be able hold Alves but Fitch will score the tallies. The Pitbull will start off speedy but will gas out late in the 2nd round and into the third and that when Jon will win the fight.
With such a long lay off Alves will be rusty in this fight. I expect his cardio to suffer. At the best of time he had bad cardio. What do you think a yearlong lay off will do for him.
For a more detailed MMA matchup go to
http://www.fighting-mma.com/mma-matchups/2010/ufc-117-jon-fitch-thiago-alves.php






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