Geoff Mackay’s UFC 121 Betting Picks

Posted on October 23rd, 2010 in MMA Betting, UFC Odds by admin

Hi Geoff Mackay here. Here are the latest updates and online betting lines for UFC 121 along with the UFC prop bets.

In my opinion Tom “The Filthy Mauler” Lawloris a steal at +145 verus Cote. Lawlor is a very well rounded fighter and he has the grappling, speed and wrestling on his side. I also like the +160 on Paul “Relentless” Taylor to beat Sam Stout who is a online betting favorite at -200. To me Stout is a very over rated fighter and very one dimensional.

One UFC bet I would stay away from is the Paulo Thiago versus Diego “Nightmare” Sanchez. To me this fight is too tough to call. I do like the fact that Diego has gone back to the Greg Jackson camp.

One underdog bet I really love is for Tito Ortiz to beat Matt Hamill. Hamill likes to push his punches and he looks very clumsy in the UFC octagon. In most fights where the student fights or idolizes the teacher the teacher usually wins the fight.

As I said in my UFC matchup report

+130 for Ortiz is a great underdog bet and you are truly getting good value for your money on this one—bet heavily. Ortiz may have taken some time off for surgery but he is a tireless trainer and will be in shape for this fight. There is no doubt in my mind Ortiz will come primed and ready and will put on a good show against Hamill, who still needs to work on filing out his MMA game.

http://fighting-mma.com/mma-matchups/2010/ufc-121-tito-ortiz-matt-hamill.php

One fight I think is a lock is for Jake Shields to beat Kampmann. Shields is one of the best pound for pound fighters in the world who, by the way, potentially has the ability to take UFC 185 middleweight champion Anderson Silva or UFC 170 pound welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre.

And in the main event I hate to say it but Brock will win this fight. Cain is a better and more technical fighter but when 285 pounds comes at you and is on top of you what can anyone do.

Below are the UFC 121 betting odds by Bodog along with UFC 121 prop bets

Patrick “The Predator” Cote -175
Tom “The Filthy Mauler” Lawlor +145

Sam “Hands of Stone” Stout-200
Paul “Relentless” Taylor +160

Jon Madsen -220
Gilbert “The Hurricane” Yvel +180

Court “The Crusher” McGee -250
Ryan Jensen +195

Dong-Yi Yang -125
Chris Camozzi -105

Daniel “Ninja” Roberts -145
Mike “The Joker” Guymon +115

Paulo Thiago -125
Diego “Nightmare” Sanchez -105

Gabriel “Napao” Gonzaga -160
Brendan “The Hybrid” Schaub +130

Matt “The Hammer” Hamill -170
Tito “Huntington Beach Bad Boy” Ortiz +140

Jake Shields -220
Martin “Hitman” Kampmann +180

Brock Lesnar -160
Cain Velasquez +130

Brock Lesnar wins inside distance -120
Brock Lesnar wins by 5 round decision +350
Cain Velasquez wins inside distance +180
Cain Velasquez wins by 5 round decision +425
Draw +4200

Brock Lesnar Vs. Cain Velasquez completes 1 full round -260
Brock Lesnar Vs. Cain Velasquez won’t complete 1 full round +200

Brock Lesnar Vs. Cain Velasquez completes 2 full rounds -160
Brock Lesnar Vs. Cain Velasquez won’t complete 2 full rounds +120

Brock Lesnar Vs. Cain Velasquez completes 4 full rounds +300
Brock Lesnar Vs. Cain Velasquez won’t complete 4 full rounds -500

Strikeforce Diaz vs. Noons II Betting Lines by Geoff Mackay

Posted on October 8th, 2010 in MMA Betting by admin

Strikeforce: Diaz vs. Noons II Betting Lines

Strikeforce bettingHere are the Geoff Mackay Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons II betting lines that will be held on October 9, 2010 at the HP Pavilion in San Jose, California, United States.

The main event will be a rematch between Nick Diaz and KJ Noons after the first bout was stopped because of a cut on the head of Diaz for the Elite XC 160lbs championship.

There will be the women title fight on the line as hard hitting Strikeforce champion Sarah Kaufman will fight Marloes Coenen. Kaufman is a Canadian fighter that fights for Zuma and is a purple belt under Adam Zugec in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu  who was under Marcus Soares and Carlson Gracie and is currently the #2-ranked pound-for-pound female MMA fighter in the world.

The most exciting fight of the night will be Josh Thomson vs.  Gesias Cavalcante. Both fights are exciting and like to push the pace.

Below are the online betting lines for Strikeforce: Diaz vs. Noons II.

Ron Keslar  -120    
Eric Lawson -110    

Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley -290  
Andre Galvao +230 

Sarah Kaufman -300  
Marloes “Rumina” Coenen +240 

Josh “The Punk” Thomson -165  
Gesias “JZ” Cavalcante +135 

Nick Diaz -265  
K.J. Noons +205 

The biggest surprise is why Andre Galvao is an underdog versus Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley. Galvao won the World Jiu-Jitsu Championship and IBJJF Pan American Championships multiple times and has also taken third place in the 2007 ADCC World Championship at both -77 kg and open weight. He trains at Black House with Anderson Silva and Lyoto Machida.

Andre Galvao is known as one of the best Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioners of this century. He has amassed gold medals at every belt in the Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu World Championships, and also holds gold medals in nearly every Jiu-Jitsu state, national, and international tournament. He is a black belt student under, Fernando “Terere” Augusto, arguably one of the greatest Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu middleweight competitors of all time.

At +230 you should be a lot on Galvao to win this fight. Tyron Woodley is a wrestler but has most of his wins by decisions. He won’t be able to compete on the ground with Galvao . Bet heavily on  Galvao to submit Woodley.

Bet on Strikeforce at Bodog