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UFC 76: Knock Out

MMA Fighting Matchups

Diego Sanchez (+100) versus Jon Fitch (-110)

by Stan Leung
UFC Betting Odds, Lines and Matchup Analysis

Diego SanchezvsJon Fitch

UFC 76 Knock Out
Diego Sanchez vs Jon Fitch
Saturday September 22, 2007 10PM EST
Sanchez (+100)
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The Diego "The Nightmare" Sanchez (17-1) versus Jon Fitch (14-2-1) fight will be the fight of the night. In my opinion Diego Sanchez is the best young star in the UFC. Even though people only know him as the Ultimate Fighter winner from Season One, Diego has been fighting a long time and been in major MMA circuits like King of the Cage.

He won a contract with the UFC after winning putting a beat down on Kenny Florian to become the middleweight winner for the first season of the show. Since than Diego has dropped to welterweight and has beaten some of the best welterweights in the UFC including Brian Gassaway, Nick Diaz, John Alessio, Karo Parisyan, and Joe Riggs. His last fight with Josh Koscheck was a poor performance and now people doubt if he can come back. Before his loss to Josh Koscheck, I ranked Sanchez as that #2 welterweight in the world behind Georges St Pierre. Sanchez has all the skillsa in the world to be the next UFC welterweight champion and he has trained hard not to put on a performance like his last MMA fight. He is one of the most complete fighters in the world and he will be looking to make a statement at UFC 76. Most good fighters have to lose to become better and Diego has learned what to do and how to train since his first lost defeat.

Jon Fitch on the other hand is no joke as he is one well rounded fighter. Jon Fitch (14-2-1) is tough but he hasn’t fought top level opponents in MMA yet or fought at the UFC level. The one main concern is that he trains at the American Kickboxing Academy which is the same place that Josh Koscheck trains at. He is incredibly strong and wrestled under the tutelage of Tom Erikson and his wrestling skills are very very good. Fitch has fought and won his last 7 UFC events beating Roan Carneiro, Luigi Fioravanti, Kuniyoshi Hironaka, Thiago Alves, Josh Burkman and Brock Larson. His ability to beat very talent fighters like Thiago Alves and Brock Larson makes Fitch very dangerous. Put it this way, I think Fitch can beat Matt Hughes right about now.

If Fitch tries to take Sanchez, Diego will easily reverse and apply his ground game and will tap him out with ease as he trains at one of the best submission fighting camps in the world with Greg Jackson. Fitch’s game plan will be stand back and avoid Diego’s shoot attempts but don’t underestimate Diego’s ability to KO Fitch.

Bottom Line: Fitch has the edge on power, strength and striking abilities but Sanchez is a better grappler and is tenacious fighter. Sanchez has something to prove after putting on a bad performance in his last fight. Fitch is going into the fight as a favorite but Diego is a really game fighter and will find a way to win. He just has that certain quality about his fight game that will make him be able to frustrate Fitch.

Look for a hard fought decision by Sanchez to get back into the welterweight title picture.

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