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Michael "The Count" Bisping vs. Dan Miller

by Stan Leung
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UFC 114: Jackson vs Evans
May 29th, 2010 7 GMT
Michael Bisping vs. Dan Miller
UFC Betting Pick: Michael Bisping

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Middleweight bout: Michael "The Count" Bisping vs. Dan Miller

Michael “The Count” Bisping (21-3) is Brittan’s best hope for any type of MMA glory. That is not saying much considering that Brittan has yet to produce a real star in the octagon. They are renown for their poor diet, bad teeth and are the statistical leader in premature ejaculation—they are not known for their crop of great mixed martial arts fighters.

Not much is known about Bisping’s opponent, Dan Miller (11-3-1), besides the fact that he is a very tough fighter. From a betting standpoint, it is a good thing to have an unknown as he will be considered the underdog and can come up with a big payday if you choose to bet heavily on him.

Of Miller’s three losses, two of them came recently against a couple of the top middleweights in the world—Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu master Demian Maia at UFC 109: Relentless and top middleweight contender Chael Sonnen at UFC 98: Evans vs. Machida, where Miller fought a tough fight and lost by decision. Miller has never lost by knock out nor by submission—he is a tough guy that can go from anywhere. Bisping on the other hand can only fight standing and has little or next to no ground game.

Miller received his BJJ black belt from Renzo Gracie black belt, Jamie Cruz. He is a true black belt not only through training, but from the use of the skills he has acquired—Miller is known to be very active on the ground, has good hips, and continually changes his position while on his back. Of his eleven MMA victories, seven of them have come by submission. He has a great a guillotine choke and good arm bars from a variety of positions. If Demian Maia could not submit Miller, it is unlikely Bisping will be able to do so either.

When it comes to striking however, Bisping has the advantage. He has been known to hold his own against some of the top strikers in the game—a win against Denis Kang at UFC 105: Couture vs. Vera and he went the distance but lost against Wanderlei Silva at UFC 110: Nogueira vs. Velasquez and Rashad Evans at UFC 78: Validation. Though Miller’s main concern at this fight will be Bisping’s striking, Bisping has more to contend with in Miller’s clinch, take down and ground game.

Bottom Line: Bisping has yet to face a true ground fighter while Miller on the other hand is a ground fighter with very goods skills who excels on the mats. The last time Bisping came across anyone with some decent ground skills was at UFC 83: Serra vs. St-Pierre II against Charles McCarthy. Though Bisping won that one it may not be the case this time—McCarthy’s striking was next to non-existent while Miller uses his striking for takedowns. Not to mention, he can also handle a punch or two.

The UFC betting lines have not been released as of yet but are sure to have Bisping as the big favorite. I suspect the lines will open up with Bisping at -180 or -250 with Miller being a fairly big underdog—I would lay some serious coin on Miller.


The best bet to make is a UFC prop bet for the fight to go the distance—three out of Miller’s last four fights have gone the distance and he does not have the power to KO Bisping but he will outwork Bisping with speed, takedown points and submission attempts. In other words, he will out-hustle the Brit for a unanimous decision victory.

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